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Qual 312023 Hopper Division
Red138
413531.7
293063.6
179926.9
Blue110
433655.6
301916.5
683220.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12786050100150200138110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#13
63.60.9
59.6→60.5
Auto17.1
Teleop37.4
End7.8
red by 8.0
4336
#22
55.60.8
50.7→51.6
Auto12.3
Teleop34.2
End7.6
Second
4135
#68
31.70.9
32.7→33.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End5.0
red by 11.2
6832
#69
20.50.8
18.1→19.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End6.7
Third
1799
#53
26.90.9
21.8→22.7
Auto6.5
Teleop14.4
End6.1
red by 10.4
3019
#74
16.50.8
16.5→17.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed