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Red158
567543.9
745763.6
48858.2
Blue94
683220.5
413531.7
24558.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1801125015020025015894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#20
63.60.1
60.660.5
Auto14.1
Teleop41.5
End7.2
red by 5.4
245
#32
58.21.6
60.558.9
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End8.4
Second
488
#15
58.20.1
56.055.9
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End10.4
red by 26.5
4135
#68
31.71.6
33.732.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End5.0
Third
5675
#58
43.90.1
45.945.7
Auto13.7
Teleop23.2
End6.7
red by 23.4
6832
#69
20.51.6
19.017.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned