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Red160
24558.2
179238.3
335763.7
Blue140
180754.7
205255.5
421339.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16916080100120140180200220240160140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.70.2
67.667.8
Auto17.1
Teleop34.6
End10.0
red by 8.2
2052
#47
55.50.7
59.358.6
Auto14.9
Teleop31.8
End8.7
Second
245
#32
58.20.2
58.959.1
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End8.4
red by 3.5
1807
#19
54.70.7
54.854.1
Auto10.4
Teleop35.6
End6.5
Third
1792
#34
38.30.2
33.934.1
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End7.2
blue by 0.8
4213
#65
39.20.7
41.340.6
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsMissed