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Qual 582023 Hopper Division
Red136
20135.4
426558.9
440043.9
Blue134
918233.5
441468.5
179926.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151127100200250136134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#2
58.90.8
53.8→53.0
Auto15.4
Teleop36.2
End6.9
blue by 9.5
4414
#17
68.50.4
66.7→67.1
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
Second
4400
#16
43.90.8
44.4→43.5
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End7.7
red by 10.4
9182
#50
33.50.4
30.9→31.3
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End6.6
Third
201
#62
35.40.8
39.3→38.4
Auto10.1
Teleop19.7
End6.1
red by 8.5
1799
#53
26.90.4
24.2→24.6
Auto6.5
Teleop14.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned