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Red181
172768.5
363662.0
69649.0
Blue131
19031.2
683220.5
926041.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17775050100150200250300181131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#18
68.51.2
67.969.1
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
red by 27.2
9260
#60
41.32.5
39.441.9
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End3.0
Second
62.01.2
52.153.2
Auto12.5
Teleop37.9
End9.6
red by 30.8
190
#67
31.22.5
27.229.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Third
696
#8
49.01.2
39.140.3
Auto10.3
Teleop31.3
End7.4
red by 28.5
6832
#69
20.52.5
16.318.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned23%Activation oddsEarned