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Red120
635743.8
908226.7
22647.8
Blue127
566739.9
99944.6
293063.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11316750100150200250120127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#25
47.80.2
47.747.5
Auto11.3
Teleop26.8
End9.5
blue by 15.8
2930
#13
63.61.5
65.764.1
Auto17.1
Teleop37.4
End7.8
Second
6357
#24
43.80.2
41.641.5
Auto12.7
Teleop23.6
End7.4
blue by 0.8
999
#51
44.61.5
47.045.5
Auto11.9
Teleop23.0
End9.4
Third
9082
#61
26.70.2
23.223.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.3
End6.4
blue by 13.2
5667
#38
39.91.5
37.536.0
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed80%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed