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Qual 972023 Hopper Division
Red127
558722.4
87657.8
180754.7
Blue162
179653.4
209645.9
440043.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146145120130140150160170180127162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#14
57.80.6
57.6→57.0
Auto15.9
Teleop33.4
End8.0
red by 4.4
1796
#35
53.41.6
53.2→54.8
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End10.4
Second
1807
#19
54.70.6
54.4→53.8
Auto10.4
Teleop35.6
End6.5
red by 8.8
2096
#36
45.91.6
42.5→44.1
Auto10.3
Teleop29.8
End5.2
Third
5587
#77
22.40.6
24.8→24.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End3.7
blue by 21.5
4400
#16
43.91.6
42.2→43.9
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned