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Qual 22023 Iowa Regional
Red72
52547.1
802423.7
873719.5
Blue110
673218.3
432944.1
704821.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846205010015020025072110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#15
47.11.8
40.5→38.6
Auto13.5
Teleop24.9
End8.7
red by 3.0
4329
#4
44.13.6
35.8→39.4
Auto13.5
Teleop21.1
End9.5
Second
8024
#34
23.72.3
18.9→16.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.6
End7.7
red by 2.4
7048
#20
21.34.0
9.8→13.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End4.9
Third
8737
#44
19.52.3
16.3→14.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 1.2
6732
#37
18.35.4
15.4→20.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned