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Qual 262023 Iowa Regional
Red48
467422.8
402117.2
631727.3
Blue107
754149.7
504126.5
305829.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758520406010012014048107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6317
#22
27.31.6
26.8→25.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.4
End4.4
blue by 22.3
7541
#5
49.73.2
29.9→33.0
Auto12.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
Second
4674
#43
22.82.6
22.7→20.1
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End3.7
blue by 6.3
3058
#40
29.11.9
28.6→30.5
Auto10.5
Teleop10.5
End8.1
Third
4021
#49
17.22.6
21.8→19.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End5.6
blue by 9.3
5041
#48
26.53.2
20.2→23.3
Auto6.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned