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Red92
17124.3
52547.1
631727.3
Blue65
882120.2
873719.5
96735.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9870204060801201401609265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#15
47.10.1
41.341.2
Auto13.5
Teleop24.9
End8.7
red by 11.4
967
#32
35.70.3
32.832.5
Auto10.9
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Second
6317
#22
27.30.1
25.125.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.4
End4.4
red by 7.1
8821
#50
20.20.5
16.916.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End5.9
Third
171
#25
24.30.2
21.921.8
Auto11.5
Teleop8.1
End4.7
red by 4.8
8737
#44
19.50.5
19.719.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsMissed