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Qual 442023 Iowa Regional
Red77
266721.0
730919.7
16741.5
Blue100
802423.7
500632.0
162546.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749340608010012014077100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#12
41.50.3
36.4→36.8
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End6.0
blue by 4.9
1625
#3
46.31.0
40.7→41.7
Auto12.7
Teleop25.5
End8.0
Second
2667
#36
21.00.3
15.8→16.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End5.3
blue by 11.0
5006
#18
32.01.0
24.3→25.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End6.3
Third
7309
#55
19.70.6
19.5→20.1
Auto7.5
Teleop7.4
End4.8
blue by 4.0
8024
#34
23.71.6
20.2→21.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned