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Qual 462023 Iowa Regional
Red68
485931.1
402117.2
204031.4
Blue119
432944.1
642039.6
908220.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76100406012014016068119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#31
31.40.4
29.5→29.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End8.4
blue by 12.7
4329
#4
44.11.9
40.6→42.4
Auto13.5
Teleop21.1
End9.5
Second
4859
#27
31.10.7
25.3→24.6
Auto12.0
Teleop11.9
End7.2
blue by 8.5
6420
#7
39.61.9
34.3→36.1
Auto8.0
Teleop23.5
End8.1
Third
4021
#49
17.20.7
19.9→19.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End5.6
blue by 3.0
9082
#21
20.21.9
16.4→18.2
Auto9.6
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned