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Qual 632023 Iowa Regional
Red42
882215.5
583732.7
906117.8
Blue83
873719.5
753121.7
462434.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748202040601001201401604283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5837
#16
32.71.9
30.5→28.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End8.1
blue by 1.9
4624
#10
34.60.5
31.8→32.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
Second
9061
#45
17.83.1
20.6→17.5
Auto8.2
Teleop5.3
End4.3
blue by 4.0
7531
#56
21.70.8
21.3→22.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End5.2
Third
8822
#53
15.53.1
18.9→15.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End6.0
blue by 4.0
8737
#44
19.50.8
22.7→23.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed