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Red109
305829.1
295725.3
310238.0
Blue146
784830.3
52547.1
327727.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91102406080120140160109146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#28
38.01.5
35.637.1
Auto13.7
Teleop16.5
End7.6
blue by 9.1
525
#15
47.13.5
43.547.0
Auto13.5
Teleop24.9
End8.7
Second
3058
#40
29.11.5
27.629.1
Auto10.5
Teleop10.5
End8.1
blue by 1.2
7848
#11
30.33.5
26.630.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End7.0
Third
2957
#35
25.32.0
23.225.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End7.4
blue by 2.0
3277
#54
27.23.5
23.827.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned