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Red76
284638.1
527511.9
877024.4
Blue130
909238.5
462434.6
642039.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711265010015020076130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#17
38.10.2
37.737.9
Auto13.8
Teleop16.7
End7.6
blue by 1.6
39.60.2
39.940.2
Auto8.0
Teleop23.5
End8.1
Second
8770
#42
24.40.2
24.224.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.0
blue by 14.0
38.50.3
38.038.3
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End8.7
Third
5275
#39
11.90.2
11.711.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 22.7
4624
#10
34.60.2
33.533.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned