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Red105
170030.7
156626.2
189137.5
Blue51
327532.6
328822.1
35625.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677205010015010551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#23
37.53.1
30.633.7
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End6.0
red by 4.9
3275
#19
32.61.1
27.626.5
Auto10.3
Teleop16.8
End5.6
Second
1700
#12
30.72.8
13.015.7
Auto6.4
Teleop18.9
End5.4
red by 8.6
3288
#24
22.11.1
20.919.8
Auto8.5
Teleop7.2
End6.5
Third
1566
#20
26.24.6
20.124.7
Auto9.8
Teleop9.8
End6.5
red by 20.5
3562
#48
5.71.8
18.616.8
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed