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Red49
883923.2
924322.3
328822.1
Blue94
931415.6
321637.4
801134.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627720401001204994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8839
#44
23.21.2
17.816.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End5.4
blue by 14.2
3216
#13
37.40.9
33.334.2
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End7.7
Second
9243
#33
22.31.2
22.120.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End9.1
blue by 12.6
34.91.6
19.220.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.3
Third
3288
#24
22.10.7
19.819.1
Auto8.5
Teleop7.2
End6.5
red by 6.6
9314
#36
15.61.6
17.619.1
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned