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Red103
170030.7
417523.8
636432.8
Blue104
888527.7
543020.3
364755.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759250100150103104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.82.0
26.128.2
Auto7.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
blue by 22.9
55.71.3
52.353.6
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End7.5
Second
1700
#12
30.72.0
18.420.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.9
End5.4
red by 3.0
27.71.3
19.120.5
Auto7.6
Teleop12.5
End7.6
Third
4175
#38
23.82.0
27.829.9
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End4.8
red by 3.5
5430
#18
20.31.3
12.513.9
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned