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Red62
839.9
459827.6
304523.9
Blue108
546134.6
327532.6
855117.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907520406010012014062108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#11
39.91.4
37.536.1
Auto11.7
Teleop21.5
End6.7
red by 5.3
5461
#14
34.61.7
28.930.6
Auto10.6
Teleop16.9
End7.0
Second
4598
#27
27.61.4
24.523.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End5.9
blue by 5.0
3275
#19
32.61.7
27.929.6
Auto10.3
Teleop16.8
End5.6
Third
3045
#34
23.91.4
20.819.5
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End4.9
red by 6.6
8551
#43
17.32.8
15.718.5
Auto6.3
Teleop3.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsMissed