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Qual 42023 Idaho Regional
Red69
327532.6
29915.2
189137.5
Blue78
888527.7
11456.4
325622.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72960204060801201406978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#23
37.51.0
29.2→28.1
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End6.0
blue by 18.9
114
#3
56.40.7
45.4→44.7
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End7.1
Second
3275
#19
32.60.9
26.8→25.9
Auto10.3
Teleop16.8
End5.6
red by 5.0
8885
#5
27.70.6
16.8→16.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.5
End7.6
Third
299
#41
15.21.0
14.5→13.4
Auto2.4
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 7.5
3256
#39
22.70.6
24.9→24.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsMissed