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Qual 582023 Idaho Regional
Red81
543020.3
156934.7
259414.1
Blue91
924322.3
459827.6
801134.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608120401001201408191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1569
#17
34.71.5
30.4→31.9
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.4
blue by 0.2
8011
#8
34.91.8
27.6→29.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.3
Second
5430
#18
20.31.5
15.5→16.9
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End5.1
blue by 7.3
4598
#27
27.61.2
24.4→25.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End5.9
Third
2594
#46
14.11.5
13.1→14.6
Auto6.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
blue by 8.2
9243
#33
22.31.8
21.5→23.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed