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Red43
459827.6
324522.4
300616.5
Blue124
636432.8
385932.8
839.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5688020408010012014043124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#27
27.60.9
22.521.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End5.9
blue by 12.3
8
#11
39.92.3
31.633.9
Auto11.7
Teleop21.5
End6.7
Second
3245
#42
22.40.9
17.016.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End4.8
blue by 10.4
3859
#16
32.82.5
22.825.3
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End8.7
Third
3006
#35
16.51.5
17.515.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End3.4
blue by 16.3
32.82.3
23.726.0
Auto7.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned