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Red140
328822.1
29915.2
603670.1
Blue126
641123.2
364755.7
213030.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107116050150200140126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.11.9
68.069.9
Auto17.1
Teleop44.7
End7.6
red by 14.4
55.70.5
54.955.5
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End7.5
Second
3288
#24
22.11.9
20.222.1
Auto8.5
Teleop7.2
End6.5
blue by 7.9
2130
#30
30.10.7
30.330.9
Auto11.1
Teleop13.8
End5.2
Third
299
#41
15.21.9
13.315.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 8.0
6411
#15
23.20.5
22.723.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned