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Red110
364755.7
417523.8
603670.1
Blue135
321637.4
11548.9
459827.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16011450100150200110135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.8
69.969.1
Auto17.1
Teleop44.7
End7.6
red by 21.2
115
#7
48.90.5
48.649.1
Auto13.3
Teleop28.5
End7.0
Second
55.70.8
55.554.7
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End7.5
red by 18.3
3216
#13
37.40.5
37.137.6
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End7.7
Third
4175
#38
23.80.8
23.622.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End4.8
blue by 3.8
4598
#27
27.60.5
27.327.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End5.9