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Red50
665114.5
4835.2
746031.1
Blue108
67728.3
11156.3
432730.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8382405060709010011012050108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#24
35.23.0
30.227.2
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End7.1
blue by 21.1
111
#2
56.33.4
39.442.7
Auto14.2
Teleop32.7
End9.2
Second
7460
#18
31.13.0
29.426.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End7.1
red by 0.8
30.33.4
21.124.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.3
End6.8
Third
6651
#43
14.53.0
17.314.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 13.9
677
#35
28.33.4
17.420.7
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed