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Qual 182023 Midwest Regional
Red40
802921.9
478713.2
202218.4
Blue97
582220.9
593440.8
306134.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578902040801001201401604097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8029
#16
21.93.0
22.4→19.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End7.8
blue by 19.0
5934
#1
40.82.0
24.9→26.9
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End7.2
Second
2022
#29
18.43.0
20.3→17.3
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.3
blue by 15.9
3061
#9
34.22.0
35.4→37.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Third
4787
#40Sur
13.23.0
14.6→11.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 7.7
5822
#23Sur
20.92.0
18.9→20.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsEarned