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Qual 262023 Midwest Regional
Red120
746031.1
812236.6
809637.5
Blue54
756010.7
162537.0
306134.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748120406010012014012054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8096
#7
37.55.5
21.0→26.5
Auto8.9
Teleop21.5
End7.1
red by 0.5
1625
#11
37.02.9
24.9→21.9
Auto12.6
Teleop18.4
End5.9
Second
8122
#22
36.65.5
22.7→28.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End7.3
red by 2.4
3061
#9
34.22.9
37.4→34.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Third
7460
#18
31.15.5
26.4→32.0
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End7.1
red by 20.4
7560
#30
10.72.9
13.0→10.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed