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Red70
67728.3
178135.4
173916.7
Blue103
4835.2
283027.4
888018.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678120406010012014070103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#12
35.40.0
28.628.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.4
End5.8
red by 0.2
48
#24
35.22.1
27.229.3
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End7.1
Second
677
#35
28.30.0
22.822.9
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End4.9
red by 0.9
2830
#32
27.42.1
24.526.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End5.5
Third
1739
#21
16.70.0
13.413.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End6.1
blue by 2.1
8880
#37
18.82.1
22.524.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsMissed