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Qual 312023 Midwest Regional
Red133
245150.3
369518.1
93048.3
Blue52
250617.0
464526.7
746031.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016105015013352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#3
50.34.8
37.7→42.5
Auto10.9
Teleop29.3
End10.1
red by 19.2
7460
#18
31.11.1
32.0→30.8
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End7.1
Second
930
#10
48.34.8
35.4→40.2
Auto13.6
Teleop25.8
End8.7
red by 21.6
4645
#25
26.71.1
18.2→17.0
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End5.6
Third
3695
#41
18.14.8
16.7→21.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.1
End7.1
red by 1.1
2506
#33
17.01.1
12.2→11.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsEarned