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Qual 332023 Midwest Regional
Red94
233847.3
593440.8
215115.8
Blue72
880223.8
69451.4
809637.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9590501509472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#5
47.30.6
38.0→38.6
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End7.4
blue by 4.1
694
#4
51.41.4
41.3→39.9
Auto15.1
Teleop26.1
End10.2
Second
5934
#1
40.80.6
31.9→32.5
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End7.2
red by 3.4
8096
#7
37.51.4
26.5→25.1
Auto8.9
Teleop21.5
End7.1
Third
2151
#28
15.80.6
18.7→19.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End3.8
blue by 8.0
8802
#27
23.81.4
16.9→15.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed