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Red94
348836.8
512515.8
339026.3
Blue77
173916.7
306134.2
812236.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69822040601001201401609477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.83.0
31.234.2
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End5.5
red by 0.2
8122
#22
36.60.3
27.126.8
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End7.3
Second
3390
#20
26.33.0
21.024.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.2
End7.4
blue by 7.9
34.20.3
34.634.3
Auto10.8
Teleop14.3
End9.1
Third
5125
#38
15.83.0
14.517.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End4.8
blue by 1.0
1739
#21
16.70.3
13.413.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned