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Qual 632023 Midwest Regional
Red55
514821.7
512515.8
908213.0
Blue73
93048.3
202218.4
311018.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479602060801201401605573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5148
#45
21.70.5
23.8→24.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.1
End5.8
blue by 26.6
930
#10
48.31.6
46.6→45.1
Auto13.6
Teleop25.8
End8.7
Second
5125
#38
15.80.5
14.7→15.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End4.8
blue by 3.1
3110
#36
18.91.6
20.0→18.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End4.5
Third
9082
#34
13.00.5
11.5→11.9
Auto7.3
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 5.3
2022
#29
18.41.6
17.5→16.0
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsMissed