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Qual 652023 Midwest Regional
Red41
201330.4
173916.7
369518.1
Blue106
802921.9
233847.3
665114.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6185204010012014041106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#31
30.41.8
28.7→26.8
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End7.3
blue by 16.9
2338
#5
47.31.8
43.5→45.3
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End7.4
Second
3695
#41
18.11.8
18.5→16.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.1
End7.1
blue by 3.8
8029
#16
21.91.8
18.9→20.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End7.8
Third
1739
#21
16.71.8
13.0→11.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End6.1
red by 2.3
6651
#43
14.51.8
14.5→16.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsEarned