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Red93
215115.8
812236.6
464526.7
Blue113
432730.3
178135.4
306731.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721002040608012014093113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#22
36.61.7
32.734.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End7.3
red by 1.3
1781
#12
35.41.7
30.332.1
Auto9.2
Teleop20.4
End5.8
Second
4645
#25
26.71.7
22.724.4
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End5.6
blue by 4.9
3067
#14
31.61.7
31.533.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Third
2151
#28
15.81.7
15.417.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End3.8
blue by 14.5
30.31.7
28.129.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned