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Qual 702023 Midwest Regional
Red75
202218.4
201330.4
512515.8
Blue140
339026.3
809637.5
233847.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53121010015075140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#31
30.40.6
26.8→27.5
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End7.3
blue by 16.9
2338
#5
47.31.6
45.3→47.0
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End7.4
Second
2022
#29
18.40.6
16.0→16.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End6.3
blue by 19.1
8096
#7
37.51.6
33.7→35.3
Auto8.9
Teleop21.5
End7.1
Third
5125
#38
15.80.6
15.2→15.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End4.8
blue by 10.5
3390
#20
26.31.6
25.5→27.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.2
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned