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Red82
432730.3
809637.5
512515.8
Blue123
245150.3
582220.9
11156.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791445010020082123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.0
35.335.3
Auto8.9
Teleop21.5
End7.1
blue by 18.8
111
#2
56.30.3
56.356.0
Auto14.2
Teleop32.7
End9.2
Second
30.30.0
31.431.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.3
End6.8
blue by 20.0
50.30.3
50.850.5
Auto10.9
Teleop29.3
End10.1
Third
5125
#38
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End4.8
blue by 5.1
5822
#23
20.90.3
19.719.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned