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Red99
93048.3
812236.6
478713.2
Blue107
11236.8
201330.4
582220.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10984406010012014016018099107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#10
48.30.0
48.048.0
Auto13.6
Teleop25.8
End8.7
red by 11.5
112
#19
36.81.6
35.437.0
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End4.5
Second
8122
#22
36.60.0
37.637.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End7.3
red by 6.3
2013
#31
30.41.5
27.128.6
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End7.3
Third
4787
#40
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 7.7
5822
#23
20.91.5
19.420.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned