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Red157
414356.8
409631.3
175658.8
Blue117
248140.5
2746.6
270428.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561186080100140180200157117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.80.2
58.658.8
Auto14.9
Teleop34.7
End8.7
red by 12.3
27
#2
46.60.0
46.546.6
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End8.6
Second
56.80.2
56.556.8
Auto13.5
Teleop34.2
End8.7
red by 16.3
40.50.0
40.440.5
Auto13.7
Teleop18.4
End8.5
Third
4096
#16
31.30.3
31.131.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End7.1
red by 2.7
2704
#14
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto7.2
Teleop16.9
End4.5