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Red41
665113.9
631723.9
204027.6
Blue107
580133.5
202219.1
23445.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4698015041107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#23
27.60.9
18.817.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End8.5
blue by 17.4
234
#8
45.00.8
40.541.3
Auto13.6
Teleop24.7
End6.8
Second
6317
#20
23.90.9
16.815.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End5.6
blue by 9.7
5801
#13
33.51.3
26.427.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End9.5
Third
6651
#28
13.90.6
13.913.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End2.1
blue by 5.1
2022
#22
19.10.8
18.118.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsMissed