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Qual 142023 Central Illinois Regional
Red107
418725.4
208024.2
175658.8
Blue95
353946.4
409631.3
741715.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018420406012014016010795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#1
58.80.6
52.6→53.2
Auto14.9
Teleop34.7
End8.7
red by 12.4
3539
#5
46.40.3
36.3→36.6
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
Second
4187
#15
25.41.0
19.4→20.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.7
End4.4
blue by 5.9
4096
#16
31.30.4
25.6→26.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End7.1
Third
2080
#30
24.21.0
20.9→21.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End7.2
red by 8.9
7417
#32
15.30.4
19.3→19.7
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed