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Red92
631723.9
409631.3
270428.6
Blue66
784822.1
565329.2
216931.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68832040601001201409266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#16
31.31.6
25.927.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End7.1
red by 0.3
2169
#11
31.01.2
29.328.1
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End6.2
Second
2704
#14
28.61.6
24.225.8
Auto7.2
Teleop16.9
End4.5
blue by 0.6
5653
#25
29.20.7
25.825.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
Third
6317
#20
23.91.6
15.817.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End5.6
red by 1.7
7848
#27
22.11.2
21.320.2
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed