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Red70
465532.2
741715.3
584726.9
Blue63
464534.4
665113.9
120820.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8667204060801001207063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#17
32.20.9
29.628.7
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End5.9
blue by 2.2
4645
#10
34.40.2
32.932.7
Auto9.3
Teleop17.3
End7.6
Second
5847
#26
26.90.9
30.029.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End7.7
red by 6.0
1208
#31
20.90.2
18.918.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End6.0
Third
7417
#32
15.30.9
18.717.8
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End6.8
red by 1.4
6651
#28
13.90.2
13.913.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed