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Red111
23445.0
623731.2
418725.4
Blue111
409631.3
248140.5
208024.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9593708090100110120130111111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
45.0
Auto13.6
Teleop24.7
End6.8
red by 4.5
40.5
Auto13.7
Teleop18.4
End8.5
Second
6237
#12
31.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End4.8
blue by 0.1
4096
#16
31.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End7.1
Third
4187
#15
25.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.7
End4.4
red by 1.2
2080
#30
24.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsEarned