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Red64
120820.9
631723.9
431424.8
Blue90
741715.3
580133.5
173642.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68944060801201401606490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4314
#19
24.80.3
25.725.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End7.0
blue by 17.7
42.50.6
39.540.1
Auto9.2
Teleop26.9
End6.4
Second
6317
#20
23.90.3
20.620.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End5.6
blue by 9.7
5801
#13
33.50.5
30.430.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End9.5
Third
1208
#31
20.90.2
20.720.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End6.0
red by 5.6
7417
#32
15.30.5
15.115.6
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed