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Red117
565329.2
173642.5
465532.2
Blue64
120820.9
64816.9
784822.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11254010015011764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.1
40.140.0
Auto9.2
Teleop26.9
End6.4
red by 20.3
7848
#27
22.12.7
21.719.0
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End5.5
Second
4655
#17
32.20.0
28.928.9
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End5.9
red by 11.2
1208
#31
20.91.9
20.518.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End6.0
Third
5653
#25
29.20.0
28.528.4
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
red by 12.3
648
#29
16.92.7
15.713.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed