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Qual 512023 Central Illinois Regional
Red100
353946.4
784822.1
202219.1
Blue80
418725.4
544232.5
120820.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867920406010012014010080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#5
46.41.3
42.9→44.3
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
red by 13.9
5442
#24
32.50.5
30.1→30.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.1
End6.6
Second
7848
#27
22.11.8
19.0→20.8
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End5.5
blue by 3.3
4187
#15
25.40.5
26.1→26.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.7
End4.4
Third
2022
#22
19.11.3
18.0→19.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End5.8
blue by 1.9
1208
#31
20.90.3
18.7→19.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed