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Red123
175658.8
784822.1
580133.5
Blue67
203921.4
623731.2
665113.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1246320408010014016018012367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.81.0
58.459.4
Auto14.9
Teleop34.7
End8.7
red by 27.6
6237
#12
31.20.5
31.230.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End4.8
Second
5801
#13
33.51.2
29.330.5
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End9.5
red by 12.1
2039
#21
21.40.5
22.522.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End6.5
Third
7848
#27
22.11.2
20.822.0
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End5.5
red by 8.2
6651
#28
13.90.3
13.513.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed