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Red122
409631.3
175658.8
464534.4
Blue124
548436.2
173642.5
203921.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371036080120160180200122124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.80.5
59.458.9
Auto14.9
Teleop34.7
End8.7
red by 16.4
42.50.2
42.642.5
Auto9.2
Teleop26.9
End6.4
Second
4645
#10
34.40.5
35.234.7
Auto9.3
Teleop17.3
End7.6
blue by 1.9
36.20.1
36.336.2
Auto13.7
Teleop16.4
End6.2
Third
4096
#16
31.30.6
32.031.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End7.1
red by 9.9
2039
#21
21.40.2
22.021.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed