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Red60
120820.9
584726.9
623731.2
Blue89
204027.6
175658.8
203921.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641030501502006089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6237
#12
31.21.1
16.215.1
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End4.8
blue by 27.6
58.80.2
52.852.6
Auto14.9
Teleop34.7
End8.7
Second
5847
#26
26.91.1
29.728.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End7.7
blue by 0.7
2040
#23
27.60.3
19.018.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End8.5
Third
1208
#31
20.90.7
19.318.6
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End6.0
blue by 0.5
2039
#21
21.40.3
19.719.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsEarned