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Red92
548436.2
565329.2
173642.5
Blue126
248140.5
2746.6
270428.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151258010014016018092126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.6
43.042.5
Auto9.2
Teleop26.9
End6.4
blue by 4.1
27
#2
46.60.2
47.047.2
Auto14.0
Teleop23.9
End8.6
Second
36.20.5
36.736.2
Auto13.7
Teleop16.4
End6.2
blue by 4.3
40.50.2
40.240.4
Auto13.7
Teleop18.4
End8.5
Third
5653
#25
29.20.5
29.729.2
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
red by 0.6
2704
#14
28.60.2
29.129.3
Auto7.2
Teleop16.9
End4.5